Tag Archives: Eastern Shore

Election Projection 2014: District 38

Senate District 38

Incumbent: Jim Mathias (D)
Filed Challengers: Del. Mike McDermott (R)
Projection: Lean D Hold (Mathias)

Past Results:
2010: Jim Mathias (D) 50.7%, Michael James (R) 49.3%
2006: J. Lowell Stoltzfus (R) unopposed

Mathias

Sen. Jim Mathias (D)

Jim Mathias surprised Republicans by taking this Lower Shore district in 2010. Now, Delegate Mike McDermott will try to unseat him, as redistricting put both him and Delegate Charles Otto of 38A into the same district. This race will come down to who can bring their message out to the most people. As Somerset County trends Democratic, Worcester County (home of both candidates) is trending more Republican. However, Sen. Mathias has a huge cash advantage and remains popular in his native county.

Del. Mike McDermott (R) hopes to win a Senate seat

Del. Mike McDermott (R) hopes to win a Senate seat

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Jim Mathias (D-inc) raised $262,180, cash on hand $288,468
  2. Mike McDermott (R) raised $37,729, cash on hand $27,153

 

House District 38A – 1 member

Incumbent: Charles James Otto (R)
Filed Challengers: Percy J. Purnell, Jr. (D)
Projection: Toss-up

Past Results:
2010: Charles Otto (R) 62.1%, Michael McCready (D) 37.7%
2006: D. Page Elmore (R) 63.3%, Patrick M. Armstrong (D) 36.6%

38a

The new 38A has dropped the heavily conservative part of southern Wicomico County in favor of western Worcester County, along with a strip of land following Worcester Highway north to Berlin. Like the Senate race, the candidate who gets their message out most effectively will win this seat. Democrats landed a top recruit in Crisfield mayor Percy Purnell; whether he can unseat freshman Delegate Otto remains to be seen.

Del. Charles Otto (R)

Del. Charles Otto (R)

Neither candidate has raised much money this cycle, and Purnell has only recently launched a website.

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Percy J. Purnell (D) raised $9,850, cash on hand $4,968
  2. Charles James Otto (R-inc) raised $3,950, cash on hand $9,767

 

House District 38B – 1 member

Incumbent: Norm Conway (D)
Filed Challengers: Carl Anderton (R)
Projection: Likely D Hold

38b

The old two-member 38B is now divided in to two separate districts. The new 38B contains the cities of Salisbury and Delmar. Popular incumbent Del. Norm Conway should win re-election now that he doesn’t have to worry about winning Worcester County.

Del. Norm Conway (D)

Del. Norm Conway (D)

 

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Norm Conway (D-inc) raised $63,574, cash on hand $72,628
  2. Carl Anderton (R) raised $17,741, cash on hand $14,052

House District 38C – 1 member

Incumbent: none – new district
Filed Challengers: Judy Davis (D), Mary Beth Carozza (R)
Projection: Likely R Hold

38c

This new district includes rural eastern Wicomico County and northern Worcester County, with the communities of Ocean Pines and Ocean City. This district is expected to vote strongly Republican, but with a brand new seat, anything can happen.

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Mary Beth Carozza (R) raised $102,213, cash on hand $41,800
  2. Judy Davis (D) raised $9,154, cash on hand $780

Election Projection 2014: District 35

Senate District 35

Incumbent: Barry Glassman (R) – will run for Harford County Executive
Filed Challengers: Bridget Kelly (D), Wayne Norman (R)
Projection: Safe R Hold (Norman)

Past Results:
2010: Barry Glassman (R) unopposed
2006: J. Robert Hooper (R) 68.0%, Stan Kollar (D) 31.9%

35b

The 35th District loses Bel Air in redistricting and picks up eastern Cecil County. This is a strongly Republican district, and Delegate Wayne Norman looks to be the front-runner.

Del. Wayne Norman (R) is the early favorite for Senator

Del. Wayne Norman (R) is the early favorite for Senator

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Wayne Norman (R) raised $49,872, cash on hand $24,600
  2. Bridget Kelly (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

House District 35A – 1 member

Incumbent: David Rudolph (D)
Filed Challengers: Kevin Hornberger (R)
Projection: Toss-up

Past Results:
2010: David Rudolph (D) 48.7%, Theodore A. Patterson (R) 46.0%, Michael Dawson (C) 5.3%
2006: David Rudolph (D) 55.0%, Ewing McDowell (R) 44.9%

35a

The new 35A is essentially the old 34B, located in Cecil county. In 2010, Del. Rudolph survived a scare as the combined votes of the Republican and Constitution Party candidates exceeded his own. This district has been trending to the right for a while now, and Rudolph has been able to survive by branding himself a conservative Democrat in tune with the needs of the community. It is unclear if 2010 was a low point for Rudolph because of the national Republican wave, or if it is part of the trend in Cecil County. While the district lines were undoubtedly adjusted to support Rudolph as much as possible, he may not survive another election.

The old District 34B contained much more of western Cecil county than the new 35A. Del. Rudolph took 49% of the vote in this district.

The old District 34B contained much more of western Cecil County than the new 35A. Del. Rudolph took 49% of the vote in this district.

Del. David D. Rudolph (D)

Del. David D. Rudolph (D)

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. David Rudolph (D-inc) raised $32,775, cash on hand $58,924
  2. Kevin Hornberger (R) raised $2,850, cash on hand $436

House District 35B – 2 members

Incumbents: Wayne Norman (R), Donna Stifler (R) – Norman is running for Senate, Stifler is retiring due to health concerns
Filed Challengers: Jeffrey Elliott (D), Daniel Lamey (D), Andrew Cassilly (R), Teresa Reilly (R)
Projection: Safe R Hold

Past Results:
2010: Donna Stifler (R) 38.0%, Wayne Norman (R) 37.6%, John W. Jones (D) 13.4%, Joseph J. Gutierrez (D) 10.8%
2006: Barry Glassman (R) 40.1%, Donna Stifler (R) 34.8%, Craig DeRan (D) 25.0%

35b

This district is the old 35A, based in rural Harford and Cecil counties. Republicans Andrew Cassilly and Teresa Reilly will win easily in November, bringing two fresh faces to Annapolis.

Election Projection 2014: District 37

Senate District 37

Incumbent: Richard Colburn (R)
Filed Challengers: Del. Addie Eckardt (R), Christopher Robinson (D)
Projection: Likely R Hold (edge to Colburn)

Past Results:
2010: Richard Colburn (R) 59.2%, Chris Robinson (D) 40.8%
2006: Richard Colburn (R) 56.2%, Hilary Spence (D) 38.8%, Moonyene Jackson-Amis (I) 4.9%

Sen. Richard Colburn (R)

Sen. Richard Colburn (R)

Delegate Addie Eckardt is mounting a primary challenge to Senator Colburn, who is in the middle of divorce proceedings for allegedly having an affair with one of his former aides. This seat will remain in Republican hands, it’s just a question of whose.

Del. Adelaide "Addie" Eckardt (R)

Del. Adelaide “Addie” Eckardt (R)

Campaign Finances as of the June 13 deadline:

  1. Addie Eckardt (R) raised $28,896, cash on hand $28,814
  2. Richard Colburn (R-inc) raised $78,824, cash on hand $33,184
  3. Chris Robinson (D) raised $9,888, cash on hand $1,345

House District 37A – 1 member

Incumbent: Rudy Cane (D) – will retire
Filed Challengers: Sheree Sample-Hughes (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold (Sample-Hughes)

Past Results:
2010: Rudy Cane (D) 63.2%, Dustin Mills (R) 36.7%
2006: Rudy Cane (D) unopposed

37a

This is a majority-minority district on the Eastern Shore running from Cambridge to Salisbury. Incumbent Del. Cane withdrew from the race in late February, and Wicomico County Councilwoman Sheree Sample-Hughes will run unopposed in November.

House District 37B – 2 members

Incumbents: Addie Eckardt (R), Jeanne Haddaway-Riccio (R) – Eckardt will run for Senate, Haddaway-Riccio is running for Lt. Governor
Filed Challengers: Johnny Mautz (R), Allen Nelson (R), Rodney Benjamin (D), Keasha N. Haythe (D), Christopher T. Adams (R), Rene Desmarais (R), Karen Tolley (R)
Projection: Likely R Hold (Mautz, Adams)

Past Results:
2010: Addie Eckardt (R) 41.3%, Jeanne Haddaway (R) 39.9%, Patrice Stanley (D) 18.7%
2006: Addie Eckardt (R) 34.5%, Jeanne Haddaway (R) 32.2%, James A. Adkins (D) 16.6%, Tim Quinn (D) 16.6%

37b

Both seats are left open in this Republican district on the middle Eastern Shore. Johnny Mautz and Christopher Adams appear to be the early front-runners, given their fundraising reports. Campaign Finances as of the June 13 deadline:

  1. Johnny Mautz (R) raised $99,281, cash on hand $25,587
  2. Christopher Adams (R) raised $50,760, cash on hand $21,776
  3. Allen Nelson (R) raised $3,401, cash on hand $1,563
  4. Rene Desmarais (R) raised $38,124, cash on hand $17,245
  5. Keasha Haythe (D) raised $4,685, cash on hand $4,685
  6. Karen Tolley (R) raised $2,930, cash on hand $67
  7. Rodney Benjamin (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 36

Senate District 36

Incumbent: Steve Hershey (R)
Filed Challengers: Richard Sossi (R), Benjamin Tilghman (D)
Projection: Safe R Hold

Past Results:
2010: E.J. Pipkin (R) 63.3%, Steven A. Mumford (D) 36.6%
2006: E.J. Pipkin (R) 63.7%, Harry E. Sampson (D) 36.2%

Sen. Steve Hershey (R)

Sen. Steve Hershey (R)

Senator E.J. Pipkin resigned and moved to Texas in August 2013, and the local county Republican committees were required to submit a name to Governor Martin O’Malley for a replacement. However, the committees couldn’t decide between Delegates Steve Hershey and Michael Smiegiel, so they put both names to the governor, who selected Hershey. When he was appointed to the Senate, Hershey was serving his first term in the House, which he won in 2010 by defeating incumbent Del. Richard Sossi in the Republican primary by 124 votes. Sossi has now filed for the Senate to challenge Hershey once again.

Former Del. Richard Sossi (R)

Former Del. Richard Sossi (R)

Campaign Finances as of the June 13 deadline:

  1. Stephen Hershey (R-inc) raised $41,420, cash on hand $39,935
  2. Richard Sossi (R) raised $11,217, cash on hand $19,190
  3. Benjamin Tilghman (D) raised $6,306, cash on hand $7,315

 

36

House District 36 – 3 members

Incumbents: Jay Jacobs (R-Kent), Michael Smigiel (R-Cecil), Steve Arentz (R-Queen Anne’s)
Filed Challengers: Jeff Ghrist (R-Caroline), J.D. Uhler (R-Cecil), Irving Pinder (D-Queen Anne’s), Robert Thornton (D-Caroline), Rod Heinze (R-Cecil), Alan McCarthy (R-Cecil)
Projection: Safe R Hold (Jacobs, Smigiel, Arentz)

Past Results:
2010: Stephen S. Hershey (R-Queen Anne’s), Jay A. Jacobs (R-Kent), Michael D. Smigiel (R-Cecil) / William C. Manlove (D-Cecil), Arthur Hock (D-Kent)
2006: Mary Roe Walkup (R-Kent), Richard A. Sossi (R-Queen Anne’s), Michael D. Smigiel (R-Cecil) / Wheeler R. Baker (D-Queen Anne’s), Mark Guns (D-Cecil), Joan O. Horsey (D-Kent)

Del. Jay Jacobs (R)

Del. Jay Jacobs (R-Kent)

The 36th is the largest district by land area in the state of Maryland, due to its low-density, rural composition. It includes all or part of four counties: Caroline, Cecil, Kent, and Queen Anne’s. In order to keep one county from dominating the district, the 36th has the unique requirement that no more than one of its three delegates can reside in the same county. If Smigiel (Cecil) runs for State Senate, the only incumbent delegate will be Jay Jacobs, from Kent County. Therefore, the other two delegates will have to be from Caroline, Cecil, or Queen Anne’s.

Del. Steven J. Arentz (R)

Del. Steven J. Arentz (R-Queen Anne’s)

In November 2013, Queen Anne’s County Commissioner Steven Arentz was appointed by Governor O’Malley to the vacancy formed by Hershey’s elevation to the Senate. Being appointed is, of course, no guarantee that a person will win the Republican primary in 2014. However, the winners of the GOP primary will likely cruise to election in the heavily conservative 36th, where the assault weapons ban and gas tax are exceedingly unpopular. Senator Mikulski only won 46% of the vote in the precincts that make up the new District 36, so the seats will remain firmly in Republican hands.

Del. Michael Smigiel, Sr. (R)

Del. Michael Smigiel, Sr. (R-Cecil) will run for re-election to the House after being passed over for the Senate appointment

 

Campaign Finances as of the June 13 deadline:

  1. Steven Arentz (R-inc) raised $40,127, cash on hand $32,276
  2. Jay Jacobs (R-inc) raised $32,011, cash on hand $22,414
  3. Michael Smigiel (R-inc) raised $11,882, cash on hand $20,679
  4. Jeff Ghrist (R) raised $9,790, cash on hand $1,101
  5. J.D. Uhler (R) raised $9,669, cash on hand $313
  6. Rod Heinze (R) raised $4,138, cash on hand $1,881
  7. Robert Thornton (D) raised $4,000, cash on hand $4,000
  8. Alan McCarthy (R) raised $3,185, cash on hand $7,931*
  9. Irving Pinder (D) raised $1,229, cash on hand $1,000
*Candidate is missing one or more finance reports.