Tag Archives: DC Area

Election Projection 2014: District 21

Senate District 21

Incumbent: Jim Rosapepe (D)
Filed Challengers: none
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jim Rosapepe (D) unopposed
2006: Jim Rosapepe (D) 67.5%, John Giannetti (R) 32.4%

Sen. James C. Rosapepe (D)

Sen. James C. Rosapepe (D)

This district includes College Park, Beltsville, Laurel, and most of Odenton. Without opposition from either Democrats or Republicans, Sen. Rosapepe will cruise to an easy re-election in 2014.

21

House District 21 – 3 members

Incumbents: Ben Barnes (D), Barbara Frush (D), Joseline Peña-Melnyk (D)
Filed Challengers: Katherine M. Butcher (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Ben Barnes (D) 25.2%, Barbara Frush (D) 24.8%, Joseline Peña-Melnyk (D) 24.5%, Scott Dibiasio (R) 8.1%, Jason W. Papanikolas (R) 8.0%, Kat Nelson (R) 7.7%, Bryan Walker (L) 1.5%
2006: Ben Barnes (D) 29.6%, Barbara Frush (D) 29.3%, Joseline Peña-Melnyk (D) 28.9%, Neil B. Sood (R) 11.8%

Even with the addition of more of Anne Arundel County, the 21st District is still heavily Democratic and should send all three incumbents back to Annapolis.

"Team 21:" Dels. Barbara Frush, Ben Barnes, Joseline Peña-Melnyk

“Team 21:” Dels. Barbara Frush, Ben Barnes, Joseline Peña-Melnyk

Election Projection 2014: District 17

Senate District 17

Incumbent: Jennie M. Forehand (D) – will retire
Filed Challengers: Cheryl Kagan (D), Luiz Simmons (D), Steve Zellers (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jennie M. Forehand (D) 73.1%, Adol Theo Owen-Williams (R) 26.5%
2006: Jennie M. Forehand (D) ran unopposed

Sen. Jennie M. Forehand

Sen. Jennie M. Forehand

Both Del. Luiz Simmons and former Del. Cheryl Kagan have announced they will run for the seat following Sen. Forehand’s retirement.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 filing deadline:

  1. Luiz Simmons (D) raised $125,314, cash on hand $101,570
  2. Cheryl Kagan (D) raised $46,393, cash on hand $48,430

17

House District 17 – 3 members

Incumbents: Kumar P. Barve (D), James Gilchrist (D) Luiz Simmons (D) – Simmons is running for State Senator
Filed Challengers: Andrew Platt (D), Susan Hoffman (D), Laurie-Ann Sayles (D), George Zamora (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Kumar P. Barve (D) 22.9%, James Gilchrist (D) 22.9%, Luiz Simmons (D) 22.7%
2006: James Gilchrist (D) 25.4%, Luiz Simmons (D) 23.9%, Kumar P. Barve (D) 23.7%

With Del. Simmons’ departure from the House, one safely Democratic seat is left open. Susan Hoffman from Rockville and Andrew Platt, Laurie-Anne Sayles, and George Zamora of Gaithersburg have filed.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 filing deadline:

  1. Kumar P. Barve (D) raised $9,295, cash on hand $78,363
  2. Andrew Platt (D) raised $46,312, cash on hand $36,141
  3. Laurie-Anne Sayles (D) raised $21,548, cash on hand $21,548
  4. James Gilchrist (D) raised $7,200, cash on hand $11,603
  5. Susan Hoffman (D) raised $14,528, cash on hand $9,865
  6. George Zamora (D) raised $1,174, cash on hand $447

Election Projection 2014: District 16

Senate District 16

Incumbent: Brian Frosh (D) – is running for Attorney General
Filed Candidates: Del. Susan Lee (D), J’aime Drayton (D), Hugh Hill (D), Meyer Marks (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Brian Frosh (D) 70.5%, Jerry Cave (R) 29.4%
2006: Brian Frosh (D) 75.7%, Robert F. Dyer, Jr. (R) 29.4%

This Bethesda-based district will be facing some major turnover in 2014, with Senator Brian Frosh running for Attorney General, and Delegate Susan Lee running for State Senate.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

  1. Susan Lee (D) raised $49,047, cash on hand $220,360
  2. Hugh Hill (D) raised $55,751, cash on hand $47,505
  3. J’aime Drayton (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  4. Meyer Marks (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

 

16

House District 16 – 3 members

Incumbents: Bill Frick (D), Susan Lee (D), Ariana Kelly (D) – Lee is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Jordan P. Cooper (D), Hrant Jamgochian (D), Marc Korman (D), Gareth E. Murray (D), Peter Dennis (D), Marc Korman (D), Karen Kuker-Kihl (D), John Andrews (R), Lynda del Castillo (R), Rose Maria Li (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Bill Frick (D) 24.3%, Susan Lee (D) 23.4%, Ariana Kelly (D) 23.1%, Jeanne Allen (R) 11.0%, Carol G. Bowis (R) 9.5%, Meyer F. Marks (R) 8.7%
2006: Marilyn R. Goldwater (D) 25.1%, Susan Lee (D) 25.0%, William A. Bronrott (D) 25.0%, Robert F. Dyer (R) 8.7%, Angela M. Markelonis (R) 8.3%, Mike Monroe (R) 7.9%

Former Delegate Gareth E. Murray

Former Delegate Gareth E. Murray

With Del. Lee leaving the House, and Del. Frick staying put after a short campaign for Attorney General, there is at least one seat open from District 16. The ranks of filed candidates have grown to eight Democrats and three Republicans, and include former Delegate Gareth Murray, who represented the 20th district from 2003-07. The three winners of the Democratic primary are certain to win this dark-blue district in the Washington suburbs.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

  1. Bill Frick (D-inc) raised $109,878, cash on hand $133,546
  2. Marc Korman (D) raised $95,890, cash on hand $120,791
  3. Ariana Kelly (D-inc) raised $113,185, cash on hand $119,582
  4. Hrant Jamgochian (D) raised $183,439, cash on hand $116,699
  5. Jordan Cooper (D) raised $28,797, cash on hand $26,909
  6. Rose Maria Li (R) raised $21,372, cash on hand $19,034
  7. Peter Dennis (D) raised $1,870, cash on hand $1,647
  8. Gareth E. Murray (D) raised $2,250, cash on hand -$10,754
  9. Karen Kuker-Kihl (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  10. John Andrews (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  11. Lynda del Castillo (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 15

Senate District 15

Incumbent: Brian Feldman (D)
Filed Challengers: Robin Ficker (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Rob Garagiola (D) 63.7%, Dwight Patel (R) 36.2%
2006: Rob Garagiola (D) 65.8%, Bill Askinazi (R) 34.2%

Feldman

Sen. Brian Feldman

Senator Rob Garagiola’s interest in politics seemed to wane after losing the Democratic primary for the 6th congressional district in 2012 to businessman John Delaney. He resigned from the Senate in the fall of 2013 to spend more time with his children and was replaced by Delegate Brian Feldman, who is heavily favored to win in 2014 against Republican Robin Ficker.

 

15

House District 15 – 3 members

Incumbents: Kathleen Dumais (D), Aruna Miller (D), David Fraser-Hidalgo (D)
Filed challengers: Bennett Rushkoff (D), Ed Edmundson (R), Flynn Ficker (R), Christine Thron (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Kathleen Dumais (D) 20.7%, Brian J. Feldman (D) 20.4%, Aruna Milller (D) 18.9%, Scott Graham (R) 13.5%, Sylvia Darrow (R) 12.8%, Matthew Mockerman (R) 11.9%, Arvin Vohra (L) 1.7%
2006: Kathleen Dumais (D) 21.6%, Brian J. Feldman (D) 21.6%, Craig L. Rice (D) 17.0%, Jean B. Cryor (R) 16.8%, Brian Mezger (R) 11.8%, Chris Pilkerton (R) 11.1%

David Fraser-Hidalgo was chosen to replace the departing Brian Feldman in the House of Delegates. Former Delegate Saqib Ali, who had initially filed to run against the incumbent slate, withdrew his candidacy in December. Flynn Ficker, Robin’s son, is running as a Republican. The two have formed a slate (“Fickers for 15”) to run together, which is listed below for those interested in their finances. Robin and Flynn have individually filed ALCEs, indicating they have raised and spent less than $1,000 in 2013.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Aruna Miller (D-inc) raised $80,186, cash on hand $108,790
  2. Bennett Rushkoff (D) raised $59,427, cash on hand $53,471
  3. Kathleen Dumais (D-inc) raised $49,480, cash on hand $52,291
  4. David Fraser-Hidalgo (D-inc) raised $33,715, cash on hand $32,974
  5. Ed Edmundson (R) raised $17,500, cash on hand $14,704
  6. Christine Thron (R) raised $3,881, cash on hand $3,881
  7. Fickers for 15 Slate (R) raised $855, cash on hand -$63,448

Election Projection 2014: District 14

Senate District 14

Incumbent: Karen S. Montgomery (D) – has filed
Filed Challengers: Frank Howard (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Karen S. Montgomery (D) 62.0%, Eric J. Cary (R) 37.8%
2006: Rona E. Kramer (D) 67.8%, Frank Hackenberg (R) 32.1%

Sen. Karen Montgomery (D)

Sen. Karen Montgomery (D)

There was talk of former Senator Kramer mounting a primary challenge to the more liberal Senator Montgomery, who defeated her in 2010. This ended up being a false alarm, and Montgomery will run unopposed in the Democratic primary. She should have no trouble in the general election either, as Montgomery County heavily favors Democrats.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

Karen Montgomery (D-inc) raised $26,856, cash on hand $43,279
Frank Howard (R) raised $10,100, cash on hand $10,011

14

House District 14 – 3 members

Incumbents: Anne R. Kaiser (D), Craig Zucker (D), Eric Luedtke (D)
Filed Challengers: Valerie A. Nia Shell (D), Sharon Trexler Begosh (R), Patricia Fenati (R), Michael A. Ostroff (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Anne R. Kaiser (D) 21.5%, Craig Zucker (D) 20.2%, Eric Luedtke (D) 19.3%, Patricia A. Fenati (R) 13.6%, Henry Kahwaty (R) 12.9%, Maria Pena-Faustino (R) 12.5%
2006: Anne R. Kaiser (D) 21.8%, Karen Montgomery (D) 21.8%, Herman Taylor (D) 21.6%, John McKinnis (R) 12.0%, John R. Austin (R) 11.5%, Jim Goldberg (R) 11.2%

After being one of the most interesting districts in the 2010 cycle, where a sitting Democratic incumbent senator was defeated in a close primary election by a more liberal delegate leaving two open seats in the House, this district has been very quiet in 2014. All four sitting representatives are running for re-election, and barring another primary upset, all will be re-elected in a district that Mikulski won in 2010 with 63% of the vote.

Election Projection 2014: District 47

Senate District 47

Incumbent: Victor Ramirez (D)
Filed Challengers: Walter Lee James (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Victor Ramirez (D) unopposed
2006: Gwendolyn Britt (D) unopposed

Sen. Victor Ramirez (D)

Sen. Victor Ramirez (D)

Sen. Ramirez faces no serious threat to re-election.

47a

House District 47A – 2 members

Incumbents: Jolene Ivey (D), Doyle Niemann (D), Michael Summers (D) – Ivey will retire, Niemann is running for County Council
Filed Challengers: Malcolm Augustine (D), Diana M. Fennell (D), Joseph Solomon (D), Jimmy Tarlau (D), Fred Price, Jr. (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jolene Ivey (D) 35.4%, Michael Summers (D) 30.3%, Doyle Niemann (D) 29.3%, Rachel Audi (R) 4.6%
2006: Jolene Ivey (D) 35.3%, Victor Ramirez (D) 33.6%, Doyle Niemann (D) 30.8%

Redistricting split the old three-member 47 into a two-member 47A and a single-member 47B. There is one vacancy in this Democratic district bordering Washington, DC. The early front-runner appears to be Jimmy Tarlau, who is currently serving as a Mount Rainier city councilman.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

Jimmy Tarlau (D) raised $63,510, cash on hand $56,787
Malcolm Augustine (D) raised $31,003, cash on hand $26,908
Diana M. Fennell (D) raised $21,700, cash on hand $19,396
Michael Summers (D-inc) raised $15,750, cash on hand $5,726
Fred Price, Jr. (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

47b

House District 47B – 1 member

Incumbent: none – new district
Filed Challengers: Will Campos (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

This will be Maryland’s first Hispanic majority district, and Prince George’s County Councilman Will Campos is the only candidate running. He will be the first representative from this new district when he is elected in November.

Election Projection 2014: District 39

Senate District 39

Incumbent: Nancy J. King (D)
Filed Challengers: none
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Nancy J. King (D) 64.6%, Robert J. Smith (R) 34.9%
2006: Patrick J. Hogan (D) unopposed

Sen. Nancy King (D)

Sen. Nancy King (D)

Senator King will be running unopposed in this Germantown-based district.

39

House District 39

Incumbents: Charles Barkley (D), Kirill Reznik (D), Shane Robinson (D)
Filed Challengers: Gloria Chang (R), Xiangfei Chang (R), Al Phillips (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Charles Barkley (D) 23.5%, Kirill Reznik (D) 21.1%, Shane Robinson (D) 20.8%, Jim Pettit (R) 12.6%, Bill Witham (R) 11.1%, Al Phillips (R) 10.7%
2006: Nancy J. King (D) 23.5%, Charles Barkley (D) 23.0%, Saqib Ali (D) 20.7%, David Nichols (R) 11.7%, Gary Scott (R) 10.5%, Bill Witham (R) 10.4%

There will be no primary action on either side of this race, and with Democrats heavily favored in the general, this district is projected to be a safe Democratic hold.

Election Projection 2014: District 26

Senate District 26

Incumbent: C. Anthony Muse (D)
Filed Challengers: Jerry Mathis (D), Del. Veronica Turner (D), Brian Patrick Woolfolk (D), Kelley Howells (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Anthony Muse (D) unopposed
2006: Anthony Muse (D) unopposed

Senator Muse faces a challenge from one of his delegates, Veronica Turner.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Anthony Muse (D) raised $83,795, cash on hand $51,745
  2. Veronica Turner (D) raised $23,200, cash on hand $25,249

26

House District 26 – 3 members

Incumbents: Veronica Turner (D), Jay Walker (D), Kris Valderrama (D) – Turner is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Xavier A. Aragona (D), Tamara Davis Brown (D), Keith L. Gray (D), Len Hopkins (D), Tony Knotts (D), David Sloan (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Veronica Turner (D) 35.0%, Jay Walker (D) 30.7%, Kris Valderrama (D) 30.5%, Holly Ellison Henderson (R) 3.7%
2006: Veronica Turner (D) 34.1%, Kris Valderrama (D) 30.5%, Jay Walker (D) 30.4%, John Rowe (R), 4.9%

Election Projection 2014: District 25

Senate District 25

Incumbent: Ulysses Currie (D)
Filed Challengers: Del. Melony Griffith (D), Terry Goolsby (D), Kory Boone (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Ulysses Currie (D) unopposed
2006: Ulysses Currie (D) unopposed

Sen. Currie is facing a primary challenge from one of his district’s delegates, Melony Ghee Griffith.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Ulysses Currie (D-inc) raised $30,725, cash on hand $112,387
  2. Melony Griffith (D) raised $30,571, cash on hand $40,483

 

25

House District 25 – 3 members

Incumbents: Aisha Braveboy (D), Dereck E. Davis (D), Melony Griffith (D) – Braveboy is running for Attorney General, Griffith is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Angela Angel (D), Darryl Barnes (D), Nick Charles (D), Geraldine Gerry Eggleston (D), Matthew F. Fogg (D), Larry R. Greenhill (D), Tony Jones (D), Juanita D. Miller (D), Stanley Onye (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Aisha Braveboy (D) 35.3%, Dereck E. Davis (D) 32.6%, Melony Griffith (D) 31.8%
2006: Aisha Braveboy (D) 32.6%, Melony Griffith (D) 31.1% Dereck E. Davis (D) 31.1%, Patrick A. Schaeffer (R) 3.7%, David Kiasi (G) 1.4%

With two open seats, nine candidates have stepped up and filed for the House.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Dereck E. Davis (D-inc) raised $128,494, cash on hand $114,713
  2. Tony Jones (D) raised $9,019, cash on hand $5,952
  3. Nick Charles (D) raised $3,640, cash on hand $2,249
  4. Gerry Eggleston (D) raised $6,470, cash on hand $1,317
  5. Darryl Barnes (D) raised $5,118, cash on hand -$30
  6. Angela Angel (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 24

Senate District 24

Incumbent: Joanne Benson (D)
Filed Challengers: Bobby Henry (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Joanne Benson (D) unopposed
2006: Nathaniel Exum (D) unopposed

24

The 24th district is a long strip from the Washington border in Capitol Heights to the western edge of Bowie. It is a safely Democratic seat. Senator Joanne Benson faces fellow Democrat Bobby Henry in the June primary. Henry narrowly lost to Senator Doug Peters in 2006 when he lived in the old District 23; his 2010 attempt at a rematch fell flat when many of his former backers threw their support behind the incumbent. The same scenario is likely to play out here; Benson has established a supporter base in a district that knows her well, while Henry would have to adjust to a lot of unfamiliar territory.

House District 24 – 3 members

Incumbents: Carolyn Howard (D), Michael Vaughn (D), Darren Swain (D)
Filed Challengers: Tiffany Alston (D), Erek Barron (D), Marva Jo Camp (D), Durand Adrian Ford (D), Greg Hall (D), Delaneo L. Miller (D), Phillip Raines (D), Cy Okoro (R)

Past Results:
2010: Tiffany Alston (D) 34.3%, Carolyn J. B. Howard (D) 33.0%, Michael Vaughn (D) 32.6%
2006: Joanne C. Benson (D) 33.5%, Carolyn J. B. Howard (D) 33.4%, Michael Vaughn (D) 33.0%

Former Delegate Tiffany Alston (D)

Former Delegate Tiffany Alston (D)

Delegate Tiffany Alston was removed from office in 2012 after being convicted of theft and misconduct. She was accused of paying an attorney at her law firm with funds from the General Assembly, misusing campaign funds for personal expenses, and had her license to practice law suspended for “failing to properly represent a client and accounting problems at her law firm.” She appealed her ousting to the state supreme court, which upheld her removal. Now, she appears to be taking her case back to the voters by putting her name back on the ballot.

Del. Darren Swain (D)

Del. Darren Swain (D)

Darren Swain is the most obvious target for a primary challenge. He has served since late 2012 when Governor O’Malley appointed him to the vacancy left by Alston, and this will be the first time he faces the voters. This is always a tough situation to be in, especially since Alston is running for her old seat. Swain wasn’t even the first choice for replacement delegate; the county’s central committee initially selected Gregory Hall, but O’Malley refused to accept his nomination when information surfaced about Hall’s previous criminal charges. Hall is also running, making Swain’s position all the more vulnerable.

Campaign Finances as of the January filing deadline:

  1. Michael Vaughn (D-inc) raised $20,587, cash on hand $75,310
  2. Carolyn Howard (D-inc) raised $19,418, cash on hand $31,931
  3. Erek Barron (D) raised $33,152, cash on hand $29,261
  4. Darren Swain (D-inc) raised $3,839, cash on hand $3,839
  5. Durand Adrian Ford (D) raised $610, cash on hand $610
  6. Tiffany Alston (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  7. Greg Hall (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)