Category Archives: Somerset

Election Projection 2014: District 38

Senate District 38

Incumbent: Jim Mathias (D)
Filed Challengers: Del. Mike McDermott (R)
Projection: Lean D Hold (Mathias)

Past Results:
2010: Jim Mathias (D) 50.7%, Michael James (R) 49.3%
2006: J. Lowell Stoltzfus (R) unopposed

Mathias

Sen. Jim Mathias (D)

Jim Mathias surprised Republicans by taking this Lower Shore district in 2010. Now, Delegate Mike McDermott will try to unseat him, as redistricting put both him and Delegate Charles Otto of 38A into the same district. This race will come down to who can bring their message out to the most people. As Somerset County trends Democratic, Worcester County (home of both candidates) is trending more Republican. However, Sen. Mathias has a huge cash advantage and remains popular in his native county.

Del. Mike McDermott (R) hopes to win a Senate seat

Del. Mike McDermott (R) hopes to win a Senate seat

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Jim Mathias (D-inc) raised $262,180, cash on hand $288,468
  2. Mike McDermott (R) raised $37,729, cash on hand $27,153

 

House District 38A – 1 member

Incumbent: Charles James Otto (R)
Filed Challengers: Percy J. Purnell, Jr. (D)
Projection: Toss-up

Past Results:
2010: Charles Otto (R) 62.1%, Michael McCready (D) 37.7%
2006: D. Page Elmore (R) 63.3%, Patrick M. Armstrong (D) 36.6%

38a

The new 38A has dropped the heavily conservative part of southern Wicomico County in favor of western Worcester County, along with a strip of land following Worcester Highway north to Berlin. Like the Senate race, the candidate who gets their message out most effectively will win this seat. Democrats landed a top recruit in Crisfield mayor Percy Purnell; whether he can unseat freshman Delegate Otto remains to be seen.

Del. Charles Otto (R)

Del. Charles Otto (R)

Neither candidate has raised much money this cycle, and Purnell has only recently launched a website.

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Percy J. Purnell (D) raised $9,850, cash on hand $4,968
  2. Charles James Otto (R-inc) raised $3,950, cash on hand $9,767

 

House District 38B – 1 member

Incumbent: Norm Conway (D)
Filed Challengers: Carl Anderton (R)
Projection: Likely D Hold

38b

The old two-member 38B is now divided in to two separate districts. The new 38B contains the cities of Salisbury and Delmar. Popular incumbent Del. Norm Conway should win re-election now that he doesn’t have to worry about winning Worcester County.

Del. Norm Conway (D)

Del. Norm Conway (D)

 

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Norm Conway (D-inc) raised $63,574, cash on hand $72,628
  2. Carl Anderton (R) raised $17,741, cash on hand $14,052

House District 38C – 1 member

Incumbent: none – new district
Filed Challengers: Judy Davis (D), Mary Beth Carozza (R)
Projection: Likely R Hold

38c

This new district includes rural eastern Wicomico County and northern Worcester County, with the communities of Ocean Pines and Ocean City. This district is expected to vote strongly Republican, but with a brand new seat, anything can happen.

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Mary Beth Carozza (R) raised $102,213, cash on hand $41,800
  2. Judy Davis (D) raised $9,154, cash on hand $780