Category Archives: Prince George’s

Election Projection 2014: District 27

Senate District 27

Incumbent: Thomas V. Mike Miller (D)
Filed Challengers: Jesse Allen Peed (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold (Miller)

Past Results:
2010: Mike Miller (D) 74.9%, Vernon R. Hayes, Jr. (R) 25.0%
2006: Mike Miller (D) 70.4%, Ron Miller (R) 29.5%

Mike Miller is the President of the Senate, a position every bit as powerful as it sounds. District 27 is made up of most of Calvert County, as well as extreme southern Prince George’s County. In 2010, the PG portion made up 58% of the district’s electorate, and not surprisingly, is where Miller performs best. While Calvert County has a more conservative reputation than its western neighbor, Miller not only won the county in both years but also increased his share in his home county from 54% in 2006 to 56% in 2010.

There is no reason to expect his retirement in 2014, nor should be expect him to seek higher office. The new 27th is reconfigured slightly from its former boundaries: it relinquishes the Accokeek area in western PG County (now in District 26) and the area immediately south of Upper Marlboro (to District 23B), while picking up Hughesville in northern Charles County (from District 28). The move was probably due to Charles County’s explosive growth in the past decade.

Senate President Thomas V. Mike Miller

Senate President Thomas V. Mike Miller

 

House District 27A – 1 member

Incumbents: James Proctor (D), Joseph Vallario (D) – Vallario was redrawn into District 23B
Filed Challengers: Joe Crawford (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jim Proctor (D) 43.4%, Joe Vallario (D) 38.5%, Mike Hethmon (R) 9.3%, Antoinette Jarboe-Duley (R) 8.7%
2006: Jim Proctor (D) 40.3%, Joe Vallario (D) 38.0%, Kenneth S. Brown (R) 11.6%, Antoinette Jarboe-Duley (R) 10.1%

The first thing to note about 27A is that it has been split from a two-member district into two single-member districts. The second is that longtime (since 1975) Delegate Joe Vallario has been, possibly intentionally, drawn out of the district he is used to serving.

27A

The powerful duo of Jim Proctor and Joe Vallario, who have served together since 1991, is finally to be broken up. Proctor is Vice Chairman of the powerful Appropriations Committee, which determines how money is spent. The other delegate, Vallario, serves as Chairman of the Judiciary Committee, where he has control of the process of passing crime laws such as death penalty repeal and gun control. The Washington Post published an excellent article last year detailing the Del. Vallario’s power, as well as the criticisms that have inevitably dogged him after 20 years as chairman of a major House committee.

The new single-member 27A stretches from Accokeek to Eagle Harbor, and includes for the first time a slice of northern Charles County. Veteran Delegate Jim Proctor should have little trouble winning a new term.

Delegate Jim Proctor (D)

Delegate Jim Proctor (D)

 

House District 27B – 1 member

Incumbent: none – Mark Fisher (R) has moved to District 27C
Filed Challengers: Michael A. Jackson (D), Philip A. Parenti (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Mark N. Fisher (R) 52.6%, Sue Kullen (D) 47.4%
2006: Sue Kullen (D) 56.8%, David Hale (R) 43.1%

27B

This is a unique case in Maryland this year, where rather than drawing an incumbent into a different district, the state redrew the district in the entirely different direction. The new 27B contains the northern part of Prince George’s County that was formerly in 27A, as well as 27A’s share of Calvert County. It also includes a small part of the old 27B, the Owings area, where Delegate Fisher lived when he first ran in 2010.

Unlike the purple-hued former 27B, the new district is deep blue, largely owing to its pickups in PG county. Del. Fisher ended up moving his residence from Owings to Prince Frederick in the more conservative District 27C, leaving 27B a purely open Democratic seat. Former PG County Sheriff Michael A. Jackson handily won the Democratic primary, which all but assures him a win in November over Republican Phil Parenti.

Michael A. Jackson served as Sheriff of Prince George's County from 2002-10.

Michael A. Jackson (D) served as Sheriff of Prince George’s County from 2002-10.

 

House District 27C – 1 member

Incumbent: Mark Fisher (R)
Filed Challengers: Sue Kullen (D)
Projection: Lean R Hold

27C

This new district is very similar to the old 27B, but without the Owings area in the north, and adding an area south of Prince Frederick. Former Delegate Sue Kullen, who lost the 27B seat to Delegate Mark Fisher in 2010, is seeking to regain a seat in the House. In anything but another Republican wave year like 2010, Kullen should have the edge. As it was, she only lost her seat to Fisher by 800 votes.

Del. Mark N. Fisher (R)

Del. Mark N. Fisher (R)

Campaign Finances as of the August 26 deadline:

  1. Mark Fisher (R-inc) raised $96,178, cash on hand $61.320
  2. Sue Kullen (D) raised $75,828, cash on hand $38,077

Election Projection 2014: District 47

Senate District 47

Incumbent: Victor Ramirez (D)
Filed Challengers: Walter Lee James (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Victor Ramirez (D) unopposed
2006: Gwendolyn Britt (D) unopposed

Sen. Victor Ramirez (D)

Sen. Victor Ramirez (D)

Sen. Ramirez faces no serious threat to re-election.

47a

House District 47A – 2 members

Incumbents: Jolene Ivey (D), Doyle Niemann (D), Michael Summers (D) – Ivey will retire, Niemann is running for County Council
Filed Challengers: Malcolm Augustine (D), Diana M. Fennell (D), Joseph Solomon (D), Jimmy Tarlau (D), Fred Price, Jr. (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jolene Ivey (D) 35.4%, Michael Summers (D) 30.3%, Doyle Niemann (D) 29.3%, Rachel Audi (R) 4.6%
2006: Jolene Ivey (D) 35.3%, Victor Ramirez (D) 33.6%, Doyle Niemann (D) 30.8%

Redistricting split the old three-member 47 into a two-member 47A and a single-member 47B. There is one vacancy in this Democratic district bordering Washington, DC. The early front-runner appears to be Jimmy Tarlau, who is currently serving as a Mount Rainier city councilman.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

Jimmy Tarlau (D) raised $63,510, cash on hand $56,787
Malcolm Augustine (D) raised $31,003, cash on hand $26,908
Diana M. Fennell (D) raised $21,700, cash on hand $19,396
Michael Summers (D-inc) raised $15,750, cash on hand $5,726
Fred Price, Jr. (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

47b

House District 47B – 1 member

Incumbent: none – new district
Filed Challengers: Will Campos (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

This will be Maryland’s first Hispanic majority district, and Prince George’s County Councilman Will Campos is the only candidate running. He will be the first representative from this new district when he is elected in November.

Election Projection 2014: District 26

Senate District 26

Incumbent: C. Anthony Muse (D)
Filed Challengers: Jerry Mathis (D), Del. Veronica Turner (D), Brian Patrick Woolfolk (D), Kelley Howells (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Anthony Muse (D) unopposed
2006: Anthony Muse (D) unopposed

Senator Muse faces a challenge from one of his delegates, Veronica Turner.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Anthony Muse (D) raised $83,795, cash on hand $51,745
  2. Veronica Turner (D) raised $23,200, cash on hand $25,249

26

House District 26 – 3 members

Incumbents: Veronica Turner (D), Jay Walker (D), Kris Valderrama (D) – Turner is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Xavier A. Aragona (D), Tamara Davis Brown (D), Keith L. Gray (D), Len Hopkins (D), Tony Knotts (D), David Sloan (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Veronica Turner (D) 35.0%, Jay Walker (D) 30.7%, Kris Valderrama (D) 30.5%, Holly Ellison Henderson (R) 3.7%
2006: Veronica Turner (D) 34.1%, Kris Valderrama (D) 30.5%, Jay Walker (D) 30.4%, John Rowe (R), 4.9%

Election Projection 2014: District 25

Senate District 25

Incumbent: Ulysses Currie (D)
Filed Challengers: Del. Melony Griffith (D), Terry Goolsby (D), Kory Boone (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Ulysses Currie (D) unopposed
2006: Ulysses Currie (D) unopposed

Sen. Currie is facing a primary challenge from one of his district’s delegates, Melony Ghee Griffith.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Ulysses Currie (D-inc) raised $30,725, cash on hand $112,387
  2. Melony Griffith (D) raised $30,571, cash on hand $40,483

 

25

House District 25 – 3 members

Incumbents: Aisha Braveboy (D), Dereck E. Davis (D), Melony Griffith (D) – Braveboy is running for Attorney General, Griffith is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Angela Angel (D), Darryl Barnes (D), Nick Charles (D), Geraldine Gerry Eggleston (D), Matthew F. Fogg (D), Larry R. Greenhill (D), Tony Jones (D), Juanita D. Miller (D), Stanley Onye (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Aisha Braveboy (D) 35.3%, Dereck E. Davis (D) 32.6%, Melony Griffith (D) 31.8%
2006: Aisha Braveboy (D) 32.6%, Melony Griffith (D) 31.1% Dereck E. Davis (D) 31.1%, Patrick A. Schaeffer (R) 3.7%, David Kiasi (G) 1.4%

With two open seats, nine candidates have stepped up and filed for the House.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Dereck E. Davis (D-inc) raised $128,494, cash on hand $114,713
  2. Tony Jones (D) raised $9,019, cash on hand $5,952
  3. Nick Charles (D) raised $3,640, cash on hand $2,249
  4. Gerry Eggleston (D) raised $6,470, cash on hand $1,317
  5. Darryl Barnes (D) raised $5,118, cash on hand -$30
  6. Angela Angel (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 24

Senate District 24

Incumbent: Joanne Benson (D)
Filed Challengers: Bobby Henry (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Joanne Benson (D) unopposed
2006: Nathaniel Exum (D) unopposed

24

The 24th district is a long strip from the Washington border in Capitol Heights to the western edge of Bowie. It is a safely Democratic seat. Senator Joanne Benson faces fellow Democrat Bobby Henry in the June primary. Henry narrowly lost to Senator Doug Peters in 2006 when he lived in the old District 23; his 2010 attempt at a rematch fell flat when many of his former backers threw their support behind the incumbent. The same scenario is likely to play out here; Benson has established a supporter base in a district that knows her well, while Henry would have to adjust to a lot of unfamiliar territory.

House District 24 – 3 members

Incumbents: Carolyn Howard (D), Michael Vaughn (D), Darren Swain (D)
Filed Challengers: Tiffany Alston (D), Erek Barron (D), Marva Jo Camp (D), Durand Adrian Ford (D), Greg Hall (D), Delaneo L. Miller (D), Phillip Raines (D), Cy Okoro (R)

Past Results:
2010: Tiffany Alston (D) 34.3%, Carolyn J. B. Howard (D) 33.0%, Michael Vaughn (D) 32.6%
2006: Joanne C. Benson (D) 33.5%, Carolyn J. B. Howard (D) 33.4%, Michael Vaughn (D) 33.0%

Former Delegate Tiffany Alston (D)

Former Delegate Tiffany Alston (D)

Delegate Tiffany Alston was removed from office in 2012 after being convicted of theft and misconduct. She was accused of paying an attorney at her law firm with funds from the General Assembly, misusing campaign funds for personal expenses, and had her license to practice law suspended for “failing to properly represent a client and accounting problems at her law firm.” She appealed her ousting to the state supreme court, which upheld her removal. Now, she appears to be taking her case back to the voters by putting her name back on the ballot.

Del. Darren Swain (D)

Del. Darren Swain (D)

Darren Swain is the most obvious target for a primary challenge. He has served since late 2012 when Governor O’Malley appointed him to the vacancy left by Alston, and this will be the first time he faces the voters. This is always a tough situation to be in, especially since Alston is running for her old seat. Swain wasn’t even the first choice for replacement delegate; the county’s central committee initially selected Gregory Hall, but O’Malley refused to accept his nomination when information surfaced about Hall’s previous criminal charges. Hall is also running, making Swain’s position all the more vulnerable.

Campaign Finances as of the January filing deadline:

  1. Michael Vaughn (D-inc) raised $20,587, cash on hand $75,310
  2. Carolyn Howard (D-inc) raised $19,418, cash on hand $31,931
  3. Erek Barron (D) raised $33,152, cash on hand $29,261
  4. Darren Swain (D-inc) raised $3,839, cash on hand $3,839
  5. Durand Adrian Ford (D) raised $610, cash on hand $610
  6. Tiffany Alston (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  7. Greg Hall (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 23

Senate District 23

Incumbent: Douglas J. J. Peters (D)
Filed Challengers: David Grogan (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Douglas J. J. Peters (D) unopposed
2006: Douglas J. J. Peters (D) unopposed

Sen. Douglas J. J. Peters (D)

Sen. Douglas J. J. Peters (D)

This Bowie-based district will feature the least-crowded primary election Sen. Peters has ever seen, having beaten out two other challengers in 2006 and three in 2010. He has never had to face a Republican opponent, and that streak will continue in 2014. Peters should win once again, having solidified his power base in the last eight years.

23a

House District 23A – 1 member

Incumbent: Geraldine Valentino-Smith (D)
Filed Challengers: Shukoor Ahmed (I)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Geraldine Valentino-Smith (D) 43.5%, James Hubbard (D) 43.0%, Margaret Moodie (R) 13.4%
2006: James Hubbard (D) 47.6%, Gerron Levi (D) 42.8%, Steve Krukar (C) 9.3%

District 23A gets reduced to northwestern Bowie and southern Laurel with the new redistricting, and goes from electing two delegates down to one. Incumbent Del. Valentino-Smith faces Shukoor Ahmed in November. Ahmed came in third place in the 2010 Democratic primary for this seat, and is running as an independent this year. Delegate James Hubbard would find himself without a seat and evidently decided to retire.

23B

House District 23B – 2 members

Incumbent: Marvin E. Holmes, Jr. (D)
Filed Challengers: Del. Joe Vallario (D), Reginald Tyler, Jr. (D), Ron Watson (D), Thea Wilson (D), Mike Hethmon (R), Robin Breedon (I)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Marvin Holmes (D) unopposed
2006: Marvin Holmes (D) unopposed

Holmes

Del. Marvin E. Holmes, Jr.

The new 23B expands from its base in Upper Marlboro to include much of southern and eastern Bowie, and will gain a legislator in November. Delegate Joe Vallario was drawn from District 27A into a district where he is largely unknown to the community. Vallario serves as Chairman of the Judiciary Committee, where he has control of the process of passing crime laws such as death penalty repeal and gun control. The Washington Post published an excellent article last year detailing the Del. Vallario’s power, as well as the criticisms that have inevitably dogged him after 20 years as chairman of a major House committee. There have been suggestions that the districts were drawn intentionally to force him out of the House.

Del. Joseph Vallario (D)

Del. Joseph Vallario (D)

Voters will certainly have other choices this year. Three other Democrats have filed for the June primary, bringing the total number of Democrats facing off in June to five. The two top finishers will face Republican Mike Hethmon and independent Robin Breedon in November.

Election Projection 2014: District 22

Senate District 22

Incumbent: Paul Pinsky (D)
Filed Challengers: Janice Denise Fountaine (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Paul Pinsky (D) unopposed
2006: Paul Pinsky (D) unopposed

While this is the first year since 1994 that a Republican has filed to run for this seat, this will still not be a close race and Sen. Pinsky will win easily.

22

House District 22

Incumbents: Tawanna Gaines (D), Anne Healey (D), Alonzo Washington (D)
Filed Challengers: Rushern L. Baker, IV (D), Lynn White (R)

Past Results:
2010: Tawanna Gaines (D) 34.7%, Justin Ross (D) 32.5%, Anne Healey (D) 32.4%
2006: Tawanna Gaines (D) 33.9%, Anne Healey (D) 33.3%, Justin Ross (D) 32.4%

Delegate Justin Ross retired in 2012, and was replaced by Alonzo Washington. Having never faced the electorate, Washington looks to be in the weakest position in 2014. Rushern Baker IV, son of the Prince George’s County Executive, is running for one of the seats.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Anne Healey (D-inc) raised $28,190, cash on hand $51,047
  2. Rushern Baker, IV (D) raised $31,394, cash on hand $24,243
  3. Alonzo Washington (D-inc) raised $41,415, cash on hand $21,624
  4. Tawanna Gaines (D-inc) raised $13,800, cash on hand $16,179