Category Archives: Montgomery

Election Projection 2014: District 17

Senate District 17

Incumbent: Jennie M. Forehand (D) – will retire
Filed Challengers: Cheryl Kagan (D), Luiz Simmons (D), Steve Zellers (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jennie M. Forehand (D) 73.1%, Adol Theo Owen-Williams (R) 26.5%
2006: Jennie M. Forehand (D) ran unopposed

Sen. Jennie M. Forehand

Sen. Jennie M. Forehand

Both Del. Luiz Simmons and former Del. Cheryl Kagan have announced they will run for the seat following Sen. Forehand’s retirement.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 filing deadline:

  1. Luiz Simmons (D) raised $125,314, cash on hand $101,570
  2. Cheryl Kagan (D) raised $46,393, cash on hand $48,430

17

House District 17 – 3 members

Incumbents: Kumar P. Barve (D), James Gilchrist (D) Luiz Simmons (D) – Simmons is running for State Senator
Filed Challengers: Andrew Platt (D), Susan Hoffman (D), Laurie-Ann Sayles (D), George Zamora (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Kumar P. Barve (D) 22.9%, James Gilchrist (D) 22.9%, Luiz Simmons (D) 22.7%
2006: James Gilchrist (D) 25.4%, Luiz Simmons (D) 23.9%, Kumar P. Barve (D) 23.7%

With Del. Simmons’ departure from the House, one safely Democratic seat is left open. Susan Hoffman from Rockville and Andrew Platt, Laurie-Anne Sayles, and George Zamora of Gaithersburg have filed.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 filing deadline:

  1. Kumar P. Barve (D) raised $9,295, cash on hand $78,363
  2. Andrew Platt (D) raised $46,312, cash on hand $36,141
  3. Laurie-Anne Sayles (D) raised $21,548, cash on hand $21,548
  4. James Gilchrist (D) raised $7,200, cash on hand $11,603
  5. Susan Hoffman (D) raised $14,528, cash on hand $9,865
  6. George Zamora (D) raised $1,174, cash on hand $447

Election Projection 2014: District 16

Senate District 16

Incumbent: Brian Frosh (D) – is running for Attorney General
Filed Candidates: Del. Susan Lee (D), J’aime Drayton (D), Hugh Hill (D), Meyer Marks (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Brian Frosh (D) 70.5%, Jerry Cave (R) 29.4%
2006: Brian Frosh (D) 75.7%, Robert F. Dyer, Jr. (R) 29.4%

This Bethesda-based district will be facing some major turnover in 2014, with Senator Brian Frosh running for Attorney General, and Delegate Susan Lee running for State Senate.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

  1. Susan Lee (D) raised $49,047, cash on hand $220,360
  2. Hugh Hill (D) raised $55,751, cash on hand $47,505
  3. J’aime Drayton (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  4. Meyer Marks (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

 

16

House District 16 – 3 members

Incumbents: Bill Frick (D), Susan Lee (D), Ariana Kelly (D) – Lee is running for Senate
Filed Challengers: Jordan P. Cooper (D), Hrant Jamgochian (D), Marc Korman (D), Gareth E. Murray (D), Peter Dennis (D), Marc Korman (D), Karen Kuker-Kihl (D), John Andrews (R), Lynda del Castillo (R), Rose Maria Li (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Bill Frick (D) 24.3%, Susan Lee (D) 23.4%, Ariana Kelly (D) 23.1%, Jeanne Allen (R) 11.0%, Carol G. Bowis (R) 9.5%, Meyer F. Marks (R) 8.7%
2006: Marilyn R. Goldwater (D) 25.1%, Susan Lee (D) 25.0%, William A. Bronrott (D) 25.0%, Robert F. Dyer (R) 8.7%, Angela M. Markelonis (R) 8.3%, Mike Monroe (R) 7.9%

Former Delegate Gareth E. Murray

Former Delegate Gareth E. Murray

With Del. Lee leaving the House, and Del. Frick staying put after a short campaign for Attorney General, there is at least one seat open from District 16. The ranks of filed candidates have grown to eight Democrats and three Republicans, and include former Delegate Gareth Murray, who represented the 20th district from 2003-07. The three winners of the Democratic primary are certain to win this dark-blue district in the Washington suburbs.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

  1. Bill Frick (D-inc) raised $109,878, cash on hand $133,546
  2. Marc Korman (D) raised $95,890, cash on hand $120,791
  3. Ariana Kelly (D-inc) raised $113,185, cash on hand $119,582
  4. Hrant Jamgochian (D) raised $183,439, cash on hand $116,699
  5. Jordan Cooper (D) raised $28,797, cash on hand $26,909
  6. Rose Maria Li (R) raised $21,372, cash on hand $19,034
  7. Peter Dennis (D) raised $1,870, cash on hand $1,647
  8. Gareth E. Murray (D) raised $2,250, cash on hand -$10,754
  9. Karen Kuker-Kihl (D) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  10. John Andrews (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)
  11. Lynda del Castillo (R) filed ALCE (raised/spent less than $1,000)

Election Projection 2014: District 15

Senate District 15

Incumbent: Brian Feldman (D)
Filed Challengers: Robin Ficker (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Rob Garagiola (D) 63.7%, Dwight Patel (R) 36.2%
2006: Rob Garagiola (D) 65.8%, Bill Askinazi (R) 34.2%

Feldman

Sen. Brian Feldman

Senator Rob Garagiola’s interest in politics seemed to wane after losing the Democratic primary for the 6th congressional district in 2012 to businessman John Delaney. He resigned from the Senate in the fall of 2013 to spend more time with his children and was replaced by Delegate Brian Feldman, who is heavily favored to win in 2014 against Republican Robin Ficker.

 

15

House District 15 – 3 members

Incumbents: Kathleen Dumais (D), Aruna Miller (D), David Fraser-Hidalgo (D)
Filed challengers: Bennett Rushkoff (D), Ed Edmundson (R), Flynn Ficker (R), Christine Thron (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Kathleen Dumais (D) 20.7%, Brian J. Feldman (D) 20.4%, Aruna Milller (D) 18.9%, Scott Graham (R) 13.5%, Sylvia Darrow (R) 12.8%, Matthew Mockerman (R) 11.9%, Arvin Vohra (L) 1.7%
2006: Kathleen Dumais (D) 21.6%, Brian J. Feldman (D) 21.6%, Craig L. Rice (D) 17.0%, Jean B. Cryor (R) 16.8%, Brian Mezger (R) 11.8%, Chris Pilkerton (R) 11.1%

David Fraser-Hidalgo was chosen to replace the departing Brian Feldman in the House of Delegates. Former Delegate Saqib Ali, who had initially filed to run against the incumbent slate, withdrew his candidacy in December. Flynn Ficker, Robin’s son, is running as a Republican. The two have formed a slate (“Fickers for 15”) to run together, which is listed below for those interested in their finances. Robin and Flynn have individually filed ALCEs, indicating they have raised and spent less than $1,000 in 2013.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 deadline:

  1. Aruna Miller (D-inc) raised $80,186, cash on hand $108,790
  2. Bennett Rushkoff (D) raised $59,427, cash on hand $53,471
  3. Kathleen Dumais (D-inc) raised $49,480, cash on hand $52,291
  4. David Fraser-Hidalgo (D-inc) raised $33,715, cash on hand $32,974
  5. Ed Edmundson (R) raised $17,500, cash on hand $14,704
  6. Christine Thron (R) raised $3,881, cash on hand $3,881
  7. Fickers for 15 Slate (R) raised $855, cash on hand -$63,448

Election Projection 2014: District 14

Senate District 14

Incumbent: Karen S. Montgomery (D) – has filed
Filed Challengers: Frank Howard (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Karen S. Montgomery (D) 62.0%, Eric J. Cary (R) 37.8%
2006: Rona E. Kramer (D) 67.8%, Frank Hackenberg (R) 32.1%

Sen. Karen Montgomery (D)

Sen. Karen Montgomery (D)

There was talk of former Senator Kramer mounting a primary challenge to the more liberal Senator Montgomery, who defeated her in 2010. This ended up being a false alarm, and Montgomery will run unopposed in the Democratic primary. She should have no trouble in the general election either, as Montgomery County heavily favors Democrats.

Campaign Finances as of the April 15 deadline:

Karen Montgomery (D-inc) raised $26,856, cash on hand $43,279
Frank Howard (R) raised $10,100, cash on hand $10,011

14

House District 14 – 3 members

Incumbents: Anne R. Kaiser (D), Craig Zucker (D), Eric Luedtke (D)
Filed Challengers: Valerie A. Nia Shell (D), Sharon Trexler Begosh (R), Patricia Fenati (R), Michael A. Ostroff (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Anne R. Kaiser (D) 21.5%, Craig Zucker (D) 20.2%, Eric Luedtke (D) 19.3%, Patricia A. Fenati (R) 13.6%, Henry Kahwaty (R) 12.9%, Maria Pena-Faustino (R) 12.5%
2006: Anne R. Kaiser (D) 21.8%, Karen Montgomery (D) 21.8%, Herman Taylor (D) 21.6%, John McKinnis (R) 12.0%, John R. Austin (R) 11.5%, Jim Goldberg (R) 11.2%

After being one of the most interesting districts in the 2010 cycle, where a sitting Democratic incumbent senator was defeated in a close primary election by a more liberal delegate leaving two open seats in the House, this district has been very quiet in 2014. All four sitting representatives are running for re-election, and barring another primary upset, all will be re-elected in a district that Mikulski won in 2010 with 63% of the vote.

Election Projection 2014: District 39

Senate District 39

Incumbent: Nancy J. King (D)
Filed Challengers: none
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Nancy J. King (D) 64.6%, Robert J. Smith (R) 34.9%
2006: Patrick J. Hogan (D) unopposed

Sen. Nancy King (D)

Sen. Nancy King (D)

Senator King will be running unopposed in this Germantown-based district.

39

House District 39

Incumbents: Charles Barkley (D), Kirill Reznik (D), Shane Robinson (D)
Filed Challengers: Gloria Chang (R), Xiangfei Chang (R), Al Phillips (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Charles Barkley (D) 23.5%, Kirill Reznik (D) 21.1%, Shane Robinson (D) 20.8%, Jim Pettit (R) 12.6%, Bill Witham (R) 11.1%, Al Phillips (R) 10.7%
2006: Nancy J. King (D) 23.5%, Charles Barkley (D) 23.0%, Saqib Ali (D) 20.7%, David Nichols (R) 11.7%, Gary Scott (R) 10.5%, Bill Witham (R) 10.4%

There will be no primary action on either side of this race, and with Democrats heavily favored in the general, this district is projected to be a safe Democratic hold.

Election Projection 2014: District 19

Senate District 19

Incumbent: Roger P. Manno (D)
Filed Challengers: Felix Ed Gonzalez (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Roger P. Manno (D) 68.0%, Don Irvine (R) 31.8%
2006: Mike Lenett (D) 68.0%, Mike Ryman (R) 31.6%

19

House District 19 – 3 members

Incumbents: Ben Kramer (D), Sam Arora (D), Bonnie Cullison (D) – Arora will retire
Filed Challengers: Melodye A. Berry (D), Marice I. Morales (D), Paul Bardack (D), Charlotte Crutchfield (D), Martha Schaerr (R)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Ben Kramer (D) 25.8%, Sam Arora (D) 24.4%, Bonnie Cullison (D) 23.9%, Linn Rivera (R) 13.1%, Tom Masser (R) 12.5%
2006: Hank Heller (D) 23.6%, Ben Kramer (D) 23.3%, Roger Manno (D) 23.2%, John R. Joaquin (R) 10.1%, Thomas Hardman (R) 9.9%, Tom Masser (R) 9.8%

With Delegate Sam Arora out, there will be an open seat which will likely be filled by a Democrat.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 filing deadline:

  1. Ben Kramer (D) raised $21,918, cash on hand $33,175
  2. Bonnie Cullison (D) raised $27,817, cash on hand $32,871
  3. Marice Morales (D) raised $17,615, cash on hand $15,299
  4. Melodye Berry (D) raised $310, cash on hand $152

Election Projection 2014: District 18

Senate District 18

Incumbent: Richard Madaleno (D)
Filed Challengers: Dana Beyer (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Richard Madaleno (D) 74.8%, Kurt Osuch (R) 25.1%
2006: Richard Madaleno (D) 76.0%, David Stegmaier (R) 23.9%

Sen. Richard S. Madaleno, Jr.

Sen. Richard S. Madaleno, Jr.

Expect Senator Madaleno to cruise to re-election without meaningful opposition from either the Democrats or Republicans.
18

House District 18 – 3 members

Incumbents: Al Carr (D), Ana Sol Gutierrez (D), Jeff Waldstreicher (D) – all have filed
Filed Challengers: Elizabeth Matory (D), Natali Fani-Gonzalez (D), Rick Kessler (D), Emily Shetty (D)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Al Carr (D) 34.0%, Ana Sol Gutierrez (D) 33.0%, Jeff Waldstreicher (D) 32.0%
2006: Jane Lawton (D) 25.9%, Ana Sol Gutierrez (D) 25.6%, Jeff Waldstreicher (D) 25.2%, Joan Pleiman (R) 7.8%, Richard A. Fenati (R) 7.8%, Lorri D. Simmons (R) 7.6%

This district has become so heavily Democratic that, for the second election cycle in a row, no Republicans filed for these three seats. All the action will be in the Democratic primary, which will include the three incumbents along with four challengers.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 filing deadline:

  1. Jeff Waldstreicher (D-inc) raised $47,103, cash on hand $113,873
  2. Rick Kessler (D) raised $84,031, cash on hand $68,782
  3. Al Carr (D-inc) raised $50,408, cash on hand $41,989
  4. Ana Sol Gutierrez (D-inc) raised $9,415, cash on hand $28,270
  5. Elizabeth Matory (D) raised $25,733, cash on hand $16,359
  6. Emily Shetty (D) raised $13,893, cash on hand $10,463

Election Projection 2014: District 20

Senate District 20

Incumbent: Jamie Raskin (D)
Filed Challengers: Vardly E. St. Preux (I)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Jamie Raskin (D) unopposed
2006: Jamie Raskin (D) unopposed

20

The 20th district, based in Silver Spring and Takoma Park, is one of the bluest in the state – there are no Republicans running in either the Senate or House races in this district. Senator Jamie Raskin will face only token opposition in November.

House District 20 – 3 members

Incumbents: Sheila Hixson (D), Heather Mizeur (D), Tom Hucker (D) – Mizeur is running for governor, Hucker has withdrawn from the race
Filed Challengers: Justin W. Chappell (D), D’Juan Hopewell (D), William Jawando (D), David Moon (D), Jonathan Shurberg (D), Will Smith (D), Darian Unger (D), Daniel S. Robinson (G)
Projection: Safe D Hold

Past Results:
2010: Sheila Hixson (D) 34.4%, Heather Mizeur (D) 32.6%, Tom Hucker (D) 32.4%
2006: Sheila Hixson (D) 32.0%, Heather Mizeur (D) 30.8%, Tom Hucker (D) 30.1%, John W. Wrightson (R) 6.7%

With two open seats, the primary election will be packed with Democratic hopefuls. Campaign contributions are a good indicator of how much support a candidate has in a crowded primary like this.

Campaign Finances as of the January 15 filing deadline:

  1. Jonathan Shurberg (D) raised $130,420, cash on hand $65,424
  2. David Moon (D) raised $55,505, cash on hand $52,341
  3. William Jawando (D) raised $64,701, cash on hand $45,916
  4. Sheila E. Hixson (D-inc) raised $58,387, cash on hand $32,304
  5. Will Smith (D) raised $52,366, cash on hand $28,311
  6. Darian Unger (D) raised $27,300, cash on hand $24,937
  7. George Zokle (D) raised $27,856, cash on hand $15,880
  8. D’Juan Hopewell (D) raised $11,415, cash on hand $8,942
  9. Daniel Robinson (G) raised $3,750, cash on hand $3,750
  10. Justin W. Chappell (D) raised $2,755, cash on hand $38