Monthly Archives: August 2012

Election Watch: 8/25

The past week has seen two major political events: the selection of Paul Ryan as Romney’s running mate, and Rep. Todd Akin’s commentary concerning how women’s bodies work.

While the first event has appeared to help Republicans nationwide, the second seems to be causing the GOP’s efforts in Missouri to self-destruct. In the only two rolling polls taken since the controversy, Akin himself dropped from a seven-point lead to a ten-point deficit, and a poll was even released showing Obama defeating Romney in the state by one point. This is the only poll so far to show Obama with a lead in Missouri, so we will have to wait for more data to see whether there will be a trickle-up effect in the state.

SENATE:
Democratic Party – 48
Republican Party – 50
Independents – 2 (ME, VT)
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES:
Democratic Party – 204
Republican Party – 231

Election Watch: 8/15

After a relatively slow polling week and primaries in four states, we have updated our predictions using the latest poll data. These are also the first polls since Paul Ryan was announced as Romney’s running mate.

    

SENATE:
Democratic Party – 50
Republican Party – 48
Independents – 2 (ME, VT)
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES:
Democratic Party – 203
Republican Party – 232

Election Watch: 8/5

We have another update to our election predictions from earlier this month, using the latest poll data. As we draw nearer to Election Day, things are certainly beginning to get exciting.

SENATE:
Democratic Party – 49
Republican Party – 49
Independents – 2 (ME, VT)
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES:
Democratic Party – 197
Republican Party – 235